Loughgall vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
48%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
LOU
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CLI
4 - 1
LOU
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
LOU
3 - 1
HAR
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
LOU
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
LOU
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 4
INS
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
INS
0 - 1
NEW
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
INS
1 - 2
HAR
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
INS
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
INS
1 - 0
BAL
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +2 |