Loughgall vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
HAR
2 - 0
LOU
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
INS
3 - 0
LOU
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LOU
3 - 2
LCE
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LIM
3 - 1
LOU
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 4
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
INS
3 - 0
LOU
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LCE
0 - 1
INS
28%
24%
49%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
INS
3 - 0
LAR
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
INS
2 - 2
POR
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |