Loughgall vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LOU
4 - 2
BAL
47%
22%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
DER
2 - 0
LOU
50%
23%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PSN
1 - 0
LOU
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LOU
3 - 0
PSN
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 2
POR
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
INS
0 - 1
WAR
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
INS
2 - 1
DER
53%
24%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
INS
1 - 4
DER
15%
21%
64%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
INS
3 - 1
KNO
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
INS
0 - 2
LIN
10%
17%
73%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |