Loughgall vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
LOU
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
KNO
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
LIM
1 - 2
LOU
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 1
DER
52%
23%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 3
DON
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
INS
4 - 0
DUN
42%
24%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
INS
2 - 1
LIS
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 1
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
INS
6 - 1
LAR
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
COA
1 - 1
INS
22%
22%
56%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |