Loughgall vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DER
3 - 1
LOU
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 1
GLE
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 0
LOU
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 1
ARD
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 3
LOU
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
INS
0 - 1
HAR
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
INS
2 - 0
ARD
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LAR
0 - 2
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 0
INS
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 0
INS
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |