Loughgall vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
LAR
1 - 3
LOU
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
LOU
4 - 0
BAL
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2010 |
ARD
3 - 1
LOU
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
LOU
2 - 0
ARD
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
BAN
0 - 3
LOU
23%
23%
54%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
INS
0 - 2
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BAN
3 - 0
INS
40%
25%
34%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
INS
0 - 1
DON
31%
25%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
DON
0 - 0
INS
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
NEW
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |