Loughgall vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
GLE
0 - 4
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
LOU
1 - 0
BAL
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
POR
2 - 1
LOU
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
LOU
2 - 1
LIM
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
ARD
2 - 1
LOU
54%
22%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
INS
1 - 1
LAR
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
INS
3 - 3
DUN
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
ARD
1 - 4
INS
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
INS
2 - 9
LIN
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
ARC
5 - 3
INS
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |