Loughgall vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
COL
2 - 0
LOU
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
LOU
0 - 0
CLI
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 5
LOU
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LOU
1 - 3
GLE
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 0
LOU
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
CLI
1 - 0
INS
32%
26%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
INS
3 - 1
COL
34%
25%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
GLE
2 - 0
INS
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
INS
3 - 2
DUN
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
LAR
2 - 0
INS
41%
25%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |