Loughgall vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 1
LOU
34%
25%
42%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
QUB
2 - 5
LOU
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 2
LOU
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LOU
4 - 0
KNO
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 1
LOU
46%
23%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
ARD
3 - 1
DER
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 1
DER
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ARD
5 - 2
DER
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
DER
1 - 0
DUN
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
DER
2 - 4
PSN
70%
17%
12%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |