Lothian Hutchison vs Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
63.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 1
LOT
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 1
SEL
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 3
LOT
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SPA
4 - 1
LOT
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
TYN
2 - 0
LOT
39%
24%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SPA
3 - 1
SEL
87%
9%
4%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 1
WHI
75%
16%
10%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SPA
3 - 1
VAL
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 1
CIV
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 1
STI
69%
17%
13%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |