Lothian Hutchison vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
TYN
2 - 2
LOT
25%
24%
52%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LOT
4 - 0
COL
73%
16%
10%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SEL
1 - 0
LOT
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
PRE
0 - 1
LOT
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LOT
4 - 2
SPA
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
TYN
2 - 1
HER
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
HER
3 - 0
SEL
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 2
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
HER
3 - 0
EAS
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
PEE
0 - 3
HER
26%
23%
52%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |