Scottish Cup 1/128
Global 5-2
Lothian Hutchison vs AFC Edinburgh University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
LOT
2 - 2
CRO
59%
19%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LOT
3 - 1
TYN
54%
19%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 3
LOT
59%
18%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 2
LOT
22%
18%
59%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
DUN
5 - 0
LOT
61%
18%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Edinburgh University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
4 - 4
STI
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 4
AFC
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 3
RFC
6%
15%
80%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 3
CBF
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
7 - 0
AFC
93%
6%
1%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |