Copa Chile Last 16
Global 2-4
Lota Schwager vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
69%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LOT
0 - 1
DLS
32%
27%
42%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
USF
4 - 1
LOT
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LOT
3 - 4
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
IBE
1 - 1
LOT
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
HUA
0 - 2
LOT
83%
13%
4%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 1
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 3
SWA
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
UCO
3 - 0
COL
34%
24%
43%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UCH
1 - 0
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 1
ULC
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |