Lota Schwager vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CSD
3 - 0
LOT
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 0
CSD
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
COQ
3 - 2
LOT
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 1
LOT
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 0
HUA
5%
12%
83%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 3
UCH
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
UCH
3 - 0
UCO
60%
21%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
UCH
3 - 1
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCO
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 0
CSD
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |