Lota Schwager vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
SWA
1 - 1
LOT
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
LOT
1 - 2
ULC
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
LOT
3 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 2
LOT
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
IQU
1 - 1
LOT
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
FVC
1 - 1
PUE
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
IQU
4 - 0
FVC
48%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 2
FVC
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
FVC
1 - 1
DCO
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
FVC
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |