Losareño A vs Amanecer B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
75.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Losareño A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PIO
9 - 1
LOS
84%
10%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
HER
5 - 4
LOS
81%
12%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAL
9 - 2
LOS
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
AMA
6 - 1
LOS
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BRO
0 - 0
LOS
70%
16%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Amanecer B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 1
HER
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 2
AMA
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 1
BRO
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 0
ADV
62%
19%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
TIT
0 - 1
AMA
7%
14%
79%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |