Los Molinos UD vs Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.4%
17.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Molinos UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
3 - 2
MOL
90%
7%
3%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MOL
3 - 3
CBO
11%
13%
76%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
APV
3 - 1
MOL
71%
16%
13%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MOL
4 - 5
CDS
58%
18%
24%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 2
MOL
88%
9%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAD
1 - 1
ALT
40%
21%
40%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SDS
3 - 2
PAD
77%
14%
10%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PAD
2 - 3
SEU
14%
18%
69%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
5 - 0
PAD
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAD
1 - 2
SAL
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |