Loros Universidad vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loros Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 2
LOR
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 3
CAC
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAZ
3 - 1
LOR
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 1
UAP
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
QUE
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TOL
4 - 2
QUE
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
PAC
2 - 1
TOL
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 0
TEM
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
TOL
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
RCU
0 - 1
TOL
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |