Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 0-4
Loros Universidad vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loros Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 0
ZAC
73%
16%
11%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CIU
1 - 1
LOR
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 3
CIM
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
EST
1 - 2
LOR
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LOR
3 - 0
TEP
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
CIM
22%
25%
54%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CIM
0 - 1
QUE
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 3
CIM
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CIM
1 - 1
CIU
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ZAC
2 - 2
CIM
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |