Lorient vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
27.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
LYO
1 - 1
LOR
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
ALE
2 - 2
LOR
9%
19%
72%
|
80 | 39 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 2
REN
34%
31%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
LHA
1 - 3
LOR
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 0
ASN
36%
30%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
TFC
0 - 0
VAL
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PSG
2 - 2
VAL
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
VAL
3 - 1
MON
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
GIR
2 - 1
VAL
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
LYO
0 - 0
VAL
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |