Lorient vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
GIR
0 - 0
LOR
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 3
MAR
17%
24%
60%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 2
REI
30%
27%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
REN
5 - 0
LOR
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 0
MET
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 3
LEN
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PSG
2 - 2
TRO
80%
14%
7%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TRO
3 - 0
LIL
19%
25%
57%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 0
TRO
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
TRO
0 - 1
CLE
44%
27%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |