Lorient vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LIL
0 - 1
LOR
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 3
LOR
18%
20%
62%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 3
DIJ
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MON
4 - 0
LOR
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
3 - 1
GUI
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TFC
4 - 0
ANG
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TFC
0 - 3
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 0
TFC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TFC
0 - 1
NAN
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 2
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |