Lorient vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
LOR
29%
25%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 0
LIL
25%
27%
48%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 4
GIR
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 0
LOR
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LOR
4 - 4
AJA
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TFC
3 - 0
LYO
20%
25%
55%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 0
TFC
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TFC
2 - 4
AJA
50%
27%
23%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 0
TFC
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 0
TFC
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |