Lorient vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
LMU
1 - 0
LOR
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
LOR
0 - 3
SOC
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
CHA
1 - 3
LOR
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1995 |
LOR
1 - 0
ASB
66%
20%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
LOR
2 - 0
VAL
67%
20%
12%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
SPI
3 - 1
OLY
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
STL
2 - 1
SPI
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
SPI
1 - 1
FCM
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1995 |
ANG
1 - 0
SPI
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
TFC
0 - 1
SPI
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |