Lorient vs Red Star analysis

Lorient Red Star
80 ELO 72
0.6% Tilt 5.6%
234º General ELO ranking 1126º
14º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
58%
Lorient
23.2%
Draw
18.7%
Red Star

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
Lorient
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.7%
Win probability
Red Star
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lorient
+9%
-1%
Red Star

Points and table prediction

Lorient
Their league position
Red Star
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
10º
38
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lorient
71
71
100%
Paris FC
69
69
100%
Metz
65
65
100%
USL Dunkerque
56
56
100%
Guingamp
55
55
100%
Annecy
51
51
100%
Stade Lavallois
50
50
100%
Bastia
48
48
100%
Grenoble
46
46
100%
Troyes
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Amiens SC
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Ajaccio
12º
42
42
12º
0%
Pau FC
13º
42
42
13º
0%
Rodez
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Red Star
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Clermont
16º
33
33
16º
100%
FC Martigues
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Caen
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lorient
Red Star
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lorient
Red Star
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lorient
Lorient
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2024
AMI
Amiens SC
1 - 0
Lorient
LOR
21%
25%
54%
80 71 9 0
24 Aug. 2024
LOR
Lorient
2 - 0
Grenoble
GRE
65%
22%
13%
79 70 9 +1
19 Aug. 2024
FCM
FC Martigues
0 - 1
Lorient
LOR
26%
26%
49%
79 69 10 0
10 Aug. 2024
GUI
Guingamp
1 - 1
Lorient
LOR
33%
25%
43%
78 73 5 +1
07 Aug. 2024
NAN
Nantes
1 - 1
Lorient
LOR
42%
25%
34%
78 78 0 0

Matches

Red Star
Red Star
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2024
GUI
Guingamp
3 - 4
Red Star
RED
50%
26%
25%
72 74 2 0
26 Aug. 2024
RED
Red Star
1 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
55%
25%
21%
71 68 3 +1
16 Aug. 2024
AMI
Amiens SC
3 - 0
Red Star
RED
36%
28%
36%
72 70 2 -1
09 Aug. 2024
LHA
Le Havre
1 - 2
Red Star
RED
50%
26%
25%
71 78 7 +1
03 Aug. 2024
AUX
Auxerre
2 - 0
Red Star
RED
62%
22%
17%
71 81 10 0