Lorient vs Pau FC analysis

Lorient Pau FC
85 ELO 75
7.7% Tilt 4.6%
259º General ELO ranking 1087º
14º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
66.9%
Lorient
19.1%
Draw
14%
Pau FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
Lorient
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14%
Win probability
Pau FC
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lorient
+8%
-9%
Pau FC

Points and table prediction

Lorient
Their league position
Pau FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
10º
42
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lorient
71
71
100%
Paris FC
69
69
100%
Metz
65
65
100%
Dunkerque
56
56
100%
Guingamp
55
55
100%
Annecy
51
51
100%
Stade Lavallois
50
50
100%
Bastia
48
48
100%
Grenoble
46
46
100%
Troyes
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Amiens SC
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Ajaccio
12º
42
42
12º
0%
Pau FC
13º
42
42
13º
0%
Rodez
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Red Star
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Clermont
16º
33
33
16º
100%
FC Martigues
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Caen
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lorient
Pau FC
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lorient
Pau FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lorient
Lorient
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2025
GRE
Grenoble
1 - 2
Lorient
LOR
20%
25%
54%
85 76 9 0
15 Mar. 2025
LOR
Lorient
4 - 0
Bastia
BAS
61%
21%
17%
84 78 6 +1
08 Mar. 2025
PFC
Paris FC
3 - 2
Lorient
LOR
39%
26%
35%
84 82 2 0
01 Mar. 2025
LOR
Lorient
3 - 1
Rodez
ROD
63%
21%
16%
84 76 8 0
22 Feb. 2025
LOR
Lorient
0 - 1
Stade Lavallois
STL
67%
20%
13%
84 76 8 0

Matches

Pau FC
Pau FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2025
PAU
Pau FC
1 - 0
Annecy
ANN
40%
27%
33%
75 76 1 0
14 Mar. 2025
FCM
FC Martigues
2 - 2
Pau FC
PAU
33%
26%
41%
75 70 5 0
07 Mar. 2025
PAU
Pau FC
0 - 2
Troyes
TRO
42%
27%
31%
75 77 2 0
28 Feb. 2025
PAU
Pau FC
1 - 0
Grenoble
GRE
45%
27%
28%
75 76 1 0
22 Feb. 2025
CAE
Caen
2 - 2
Pau FC
PAU
34%
27%
39%
74 71 3 +1