Lorient vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
4 - 0
LOR
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
TFC
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LIL
0 - 1
LOR
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 3
LOR
18%
20%
62%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 3
DIJ
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
REN
2 - 2
NIC
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASS
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
NIC
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NIC
3 - 1
GUI
50%
25%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
NIC
30%
28%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |