Lorient vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ETG
0 - 4
LOR
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LOR
0 - 0
REI
53%
25%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
PSG
4 - 0
LOR
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
NAN
2 - 0
LOR
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 1
SOC
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
NIC
0 - 1
ASS
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
PSG
3 - 1
NIC
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 2
GIR
38%
27%
36%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
NIC
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 0
MAR
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |