Lorient vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
26.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
TFC
0 - 1
LOR
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
PSG
33%
29%
39%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
GRE
60%
24%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 1
ASN
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LYO
1 - 0
LOR
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
NIC
3 - 2
VAL
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ASS
4 - 1
NIC
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 3
MON
41%
29%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
AUX
2 - 0
NIC
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |