Lorient vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
NÎM
1 - 2
LOR
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
LOR
2 - 1
STL
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
ESW
0 - 1
LOR
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
RED
5 - 2
LOR
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
LOR
2 - 0
ASN
36%
28%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
NIC
1 - 2
FCG
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
MPL
3 - 0
NIC
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
NIC
2 - 2
SOC
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
CAN
2 - 1
NIC
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
NIC
2 - 0
ANG
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |