Lorient vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 1
LOR
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
LOR
0 - 1
GIR
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
PSG
2 - 3
LOR
71%
18%
10%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2006 |
LOR
3 - 1
REI
63%
22%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
VAL
1 - 0
LOR
46%
29%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
NAN
1 - 1
TRO
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
NIC
1 - 1
NAN
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
NAN
1 - 3
LYO
24%
26%
49%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
LEN
3 - 1
NAN
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
NAN
0 - 1
GIR
41%
28%
32%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |