Lorient vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
ORL
2 - 0
LOR
19%
23%
58%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
LOR
0 - 0
CLE
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
RED
0 - 3
LOR
19%
24%
58%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 0
GRE
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 1
LOR
28%
23%
49%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
ASN
0 - 0
SOC
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
GAZ
0 - 1
ASN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
ASN
0 - 1
LHA
29%
29%
43%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
ASN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
ASN
1 - 1
ORL
42%
25%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |