Lorient vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
26.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 2
LOR
24%
25%
50%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 1
MPL
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PSG
2 - 2
LOR
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 2
PSG
23%
26%
52%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 0
LOR
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ASN
0 - 1
TFC
47%
27%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASN
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ASN
1 - 0
BRE
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ASN
3 - 1
REI
83%
12%
4%
|
81 | 29 | 52 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SOC
1 - 0
ASN
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |