Lorient vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
LIL
0 - 0
LOR
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
LOR
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
LOR
5 - 1
GIR
29%
26%
46%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
LOR
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 2
LOR
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 2
MAR
21%
25%
55%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
LYO
4 - 0
ASN
69%
20%
12%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ASN
3 - 1
AUX
38%
28%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 1
ASN
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 2
LMU
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |