Lorient vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LYO
1 - 0
LOR
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
LMU
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
LOR
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 2
MPL
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
LIL
1 - 2
LOR
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ASN
0 - 0
TFC
42%
27%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LYO
3 - 1
ASN
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LMU
2 - 1
ASN
41%
28%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ASN
4 - 0
MON
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 3
ASN
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |