Lorient vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
REN
2 - 0
LOR
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 0
STR
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
VAL
3 - 0
LOR
45%
29%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 0
REN
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 0
GIR
28%
29%
44%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ASN
2 - 1
LEN
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ASS
4 - 0
ASN
43%
29%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
ASN
1 - 0
TFC
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 1
ASN
13%
24%
63%
|
84 | 43 | 41 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
AUX
0 - 0
ASN
54%
26%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |