Lorient vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 1
LOR
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 0
VAL
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 0
LOR
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
NIC
3 - 0
LOR
56%
26%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LOR
0 - 0
TRO
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ASN
2 - 1
GIR
37%
29%
34%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2006 |
ASN
2 - 1
WIS
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
LYO
1 - 0
ASN
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
ASN
2 - 1
TFC
48%
28%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 0
NAN
45%
28%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |