Lorient vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
FCM
1 - 0
LOR
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
LOR
0 - 0
AMI
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
FCG
1 - 2
LOR
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
LOR
1 - 1
VAL
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
LOR
4 - 0
NÎM
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
ASN
2 - 0
RED
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
SOC
0 - 1
ASN
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
ASN
1 - 0
NÎM
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
FCM
0 - 0
ASN
44%
27%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
ASN
1 - 1
LIL
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |