Lorient vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NIC
2 - 1
LOR
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
LOR
6 - 2
ASS
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PSG
5 - 1
LOR
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 0
STR
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CLE
0 - 2
LOR
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
MET
1 - 1
CLE
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
GIR
3 - 1
MET
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MET
1 - 2
MON
18%
23%
59%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
MET
2 - 0
WEH
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
REN
6 - 1
MET
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |