Lorient vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 1
AUX
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 0
LOR
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 0
ASN
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
REN
2 - 0
LOR
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 0
STR
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MET
1 - 2
NIC
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
STR
2 - 3
MET
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
MET
2 - 1
CAE
35%
26%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
LYO
2 - 0
MET
77%
16%
8%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MET
2 - 1
VAL
36%
28%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |