Lorient vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
AUX
1 - 1
LOR
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 4
LYO
24%
26%
51%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
SOC
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ASN
2 - 2
LOR
36%
26%
37%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
LMU
0 - 1
LOR
23%
25%
51%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LIL
4 - 5
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 1
LIL
24%
26%
50%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LIL
3 - 0
ASS
72%
18%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
LIL
7%
19%
74%
|
89 | 46 | 43 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
LIL
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |