Lorient vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
LOR
0 - 0
SED
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
SÈT
0 - 2
LOR
29%
29%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2006 |
LOR
2 - 1
GUI
46%
26%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2006 |
VAN
1 - 2
LOR
24%
24%
53%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2006 |
STL
0 - 2
LOR
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
LIL
3 - 1
MET
62%
24%
14%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
TFC
0 - 0
LIL
29%
30%
41%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
LIL
3 - 0
SOC
49%
27%
24%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 0
LIL
29%
29%
42%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 1
LIL
36%
30%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |