Lorient vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LIL
2 - 0
LOR
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 0
NIC
45%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 2
LOR
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
NAN
0 - 2
LOR
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 1
ETG
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 1
GUI
39%
28%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 2
ASS
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
PSG
2 - 0
GUI
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUI
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |