Lorient vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
ASN
1 - 0
LOR
37%
28%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
STL
0 - 0
LOR
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 2
ANG
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
TRO
1 - 2
LOR
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
LOR
0 - 2
DIJ
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
GUI
1 - 0
ANG
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
TRO
1 - 1
GUI
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
GUI
0 - 1
DIJ
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
MPL
1 - 1
GUI
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 0
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |