Lorient vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
AMI
0 - 0
LOR
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
LOR
0 - 0
LIL
39%
28%
34%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
SOC
1 - 1
LOR
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
LOR
0 - 3
FCG
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
LOR
3 - 0
LUS
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
GUI
1 - 0
VAL
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
CAN
0 - 2
GUI
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2000 |
GUI
3 - 1
CAE
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
LMU
1 - 1
GUI
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
GUI
1 - 1
NIO
68%
21%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |