Lorient vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
GIR
3 - 0
LOR
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 1
LIL
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ASS
2 - 0
LOR
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 1
PSG
16%
22%
62%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 1
TFC
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
GAZ
0 - 4
PSG
9%
19%
71%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LYO
2 - 1
GAZ
75%
17%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GAZ
3 - 2
BAS
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GAZ
2 - 4
LIL
22%
28%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 0
GAZ
51%
28%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |