Lorient vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
VAL
3 - 2
LOR
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
NÎM
1 - 0
LOR
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
LOR
5 - 2
RED
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
LMU
2 - 2
LOR
36%
28%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
LOR
2 - 0
LIL
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
FCG
4 - 0
RED
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
LMU
2 - 3
FCG
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
FCG
1 - 0
NÎM
56%
23%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
ASS
0 - 1
FCG
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
FCG
3 - 0
FCM
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |