Lorient vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
LYO
4 - 0
LOR
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 1
REI
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MPL
1 - 0
LOR
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LOR
4 - 0
GUI
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LIL
2 - 0
LOR
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 1
LEN
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
GIR
2 - 1
ETG
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ETG
1 - 3
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 0
ETG
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
ETG
0 - 0
PSG
14%
20%
65%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |