Lorient vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 1
ASN
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 1
STL
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
ANG
2 - 0
LOR
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 2
TRO
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
DIJ
0 - 0
LOR
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
NIO
0 - 0
ANG
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
TRO
1 - 1
NIO
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
NIO
0 - 0
DIJ
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
MPL
2 - 0
NIO
63%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
NIO
0 - 0
CHA
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |