Lorient vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
ESW
1 - 0
LOR
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 1
TFC
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
CSL
0 - 1
LOR
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 1
LOR
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
NIO
1 - 1
VAL
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1999 |
CAN
2 - 1
NIO
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
NIO
0 - 0
CAE
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
LMU
2 - 2
NIO
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
LUS
1 - 1
NIO
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |